Material spot prices are coming off a peak but despite federal investigation into manipulation of aluminum and copper, warehousing has continued to be a solution to investors in metal commodities. As falling metal commodity and scrap prices can indicate lower returns in the manufacturing sector, and given who we have coming into office, it can be anyone's guess as to whether manufacturing will pick up. I believe it will, though I also believe enhancements to legislation and regulation derived from the Berry Amendment will come into play as part of trade protectionism.
There has certainly been an over-run of typical consumed arms and ammo, as well as suppressors, in anticipation of a Hillary win, and it's very visible to see that a lot of small and medium sized companies are trying to liquidate because the bubble they predicted never happened. I saw some brand new 6920s going for 550 from a few vendors recently; that's screaming low. I've seen a lot of 100-300$ rebate plans and discounts on various things from various manufacturers and dealers as well.
Whatever the long term game is for ammo, my ammo distributors dropped their wholesale quantity prices on non-match munitions by a little but tangible bit immediately following the election results.
I would expect them to, but my expectations are often wrong. I do think that availability will be better - as ethereal mentioned, there was bound to have been pre-election production crank-ups that 'should' lead to a stock glut now. Also, a lot of folks (myself included) stocked up on some things before the election that they may not be buying any more of for a while, so shortages in general should be less of an issue in the near future.
That said, over the years I've had no choice but to accept that my prognosticator is hugely imperfect. I didn't expect the politicians to allow the '94 AWB to sunset in 2004, for that matter. And I naturally don't expect that the next one (whenever it comes) will sunset either.
So for now, I'm just enjoying the relaxing of the market. If bargains start showing up on things I can use, I might jump in in quantity; but for now it's just nice to see people finally letting themselves breathe a little bit.
I'm seeing e-mails and getting flyers from companies I have dealt with offering shipping breaks and bulk sales that are a little bit cheaper than they were a month ago. I am not worried, I bought ahead also. The only one company I will never deal with again is Cheaper Than Dirt. I bought a lot of stuff from them over the years, but when the .22 shortage was at it's peak, they offered me, as a "preferred customer" a 100 round box of .22 Mini-Mags for only $99.99 plus S/H. I though it was a misprint. It wasn't. I wrote a letter to the CEO telling him what I thought of his price gouging. I got a syrupy response about how hard it was to get .22's and they were looking out for their customers and blah, blah, BS, BS, BS. Never bought from them again and never will.