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Frances is on its way.

This is one hum-dinger of a storm!

Last advisory showed sustained winds of 145 mph with gusts of 175.
 

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It could even pass between Cuba and Florida or through Florida out into the Gulf. Could be some very dangerous times for the next few days. You guys in FL stay safe.

RIKA
 

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well in NC we have close to the same conditions as we did floyd. ( i think that was the name of it) the one that flooded NCD so bad.......sure hope it curves
 

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Hey, maybe it'll drown a few rattlesnakes. :D
 

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I'm starting a fund to buy them flotation vests. Just send all your money to me.

RIKA :)
 

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I just wish it would send the rain this way... we sure could use it.

:devil:
 

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Last I heard it was still plowing towards Vero Beach, but had been downgraded to a category III storm. They said if it slows, it could very well turn north and just skirt our coast.

Oh well, if we lose the house we're just going to move to our place out west, declare bankruptcy and start over. . .
 

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that aint shtf. It's just a local, temporary glitchs. shtf means paper money is asswipe, moving 1000 miles wont bring back the electricity, etc. The only reason guys in Fl are going to have any problem at all is that they own property there, or they STAY there instead of leaving for a week.
 

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Andy, if shtf hit you would just sit down in the middle of the mess and cry because your nice easy life is gone. You have no plan, no kit (or else you would answer Garand's request) and no expertise with real current weapons.

You would go nuts without your computer.

RIKA
 

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The definition of SHTF can vary, depending upon your frame of reference.

You can seriously have a personal SHTF if you are on land, too close to the water, in too low of an area when that tidal surge comes in. In some cases you're actually safer riding the bitch out in a very seaworthy boat, well away from shore.

You should see pictures of what the city of Galveston, Texas looked like a century ago after the entire island went underwater during a hurricane's tidal surge.
 

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Your main SHTF gear in that situation would be packed luggage, a tank of gas, and hotel reservations in Tennessee.
 

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I agree with mrostov on the luggage and gas.....etc
 

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He would probably try a strongarm robbery on some old lady who would blow him away with her little snubby revolver.

Little old lady wins. GK loses ... as usual.

RIKA
 

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Funny you should mention that RIKA. They interviewed an old lady (looked like in her 70's) who was riding out the storm, and she was showing them "some" of the looter-protection she and her husband had on hand. . .

. . .And she does look like the "sweet ol' grandma" that some turd would try to rob. . .
 

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Yeah man, it's dumping some serious rain. Damn thing is moving so slowly that there's probably going to be some major flooding. Did you see the video of the idiot in Pompano beach out there surfing???
 

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This is bad. Are you having mass evacuations or is most everybody going to ride it out?

RIKA
 

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The Barrier Islands, the beachside areas and people living in mobile homes were supposed to evacuate yesterday and the day before where the eye is going to make landfall. All the interstates and turnpikes were bumper to bumper the last two days. N-S highways were northbound only, E-W were westbound only, using all lanes to get people out. The big problem was, people are too lazy to keep gas in their car, so you had lines miles long trying to get into truck stops and gas stations, and a lot were flat out of gas.

Unlike Charlie, this one isn't going to hit where I am directly (Charlie's eye went right overhead, this one is quite a ways to the south). Most people here are riding it out, as we live quite a ways inland, so the storm surge won't make it here. Most of the counties in the path of the storm have had people evacuate that were in high danger areas. Although a few people are staying behind in those areas to ride it out and protect their property. A few hours ago, the state pulled all the State Troopers off the roads in the coastal counties, meaning the winds are over 50 mph, and the eye (and the highest winds) isn't expected to make landfall until 12AM-3AM. It's only moving 5 MPH, so it's just crawling and flogging the state with the rain bands. We've got fairly high winds and a lot of rain, but that's about it.

Rich, watch out, last I heard, once Frances makes it intot he Gulf, they were talking about it turning north towards the panhandle and then into Alabama. Problem is, it's so slow, it'll have time to whip itself back up once it's over water.
 

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Discussion Starter #19
Looks like it is just drifting now:
Code:
38A      03/1200Z   25.3N/76.4W    120  145     WNW    9        957     Hrricn
39       03/1500Z   25.5N/76.7W    120  145     NW     9        957     Hrricn
39A      03/1800Z   25.7N/77.2W    115  140     WNW    9        961     Hrricn
40       03/2100Z   25.9N/77.5W    115  140     WNW    8        959     Hrricn
40A      04/0000Z   25.9N/77.5W    105  125     WNW    4        960     Hrricn
41       04/0300Z   26.1N/77.8W    105  125     WNW    6        960     Hrricn
41A      04/0600Z   26.4N/78.0W    105  125     NW     6        961     Hrricn
42       04/0900Z   26.6N/78.1W    105  125     NW     6        960     Hrricn
42A      04/1200Z   26.7N/78.4W    105  125     WNW    6        960     Hrricn
43       04/1500Z   26.9N/78.8W    105  125     WNW    5        961     Hrricn
43A      04/1800Z   26.9N/79.0W    105  125     W      5        962     Hrricn
44       04/2100Z   26.9N/79.3W    105  125     WNW    5        962     Hrricn
44A      05/0000Z   27.0N/79.4W    105  125     WNW    Drift    957     Hrricn
Which means it will probably strength now that it is over the Gulf Stream. As noted above, the barometric pressure is now dropping in the eye, which means it should be strengthening. The last time it had a pressure reading of 957 mb the wind speed was a sustained 120 mph. The longer it stays out over water the worse it will probably get. Not to mention the tremendous amounts of rainfall over the same areas.

Yeah, I'm watching to see what it does when it crosses over the state. The Gulf of Mexico its really warm water, so unless it breaks up over land, it will likely strength once it is over water again. A lot depends on speed and direction at that time. I don't think the forecasters have any real idea about what is going to happen at this point.
 

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Hang Tough!

you gator-stompers!


miss COLLEEN and i, will pray at supper for your well being[ she, like's you folks better than me! [unless she's snoring/asleep] ha!]


stay safe!






thanks.
 
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