andy said:
not even with a trigger job, match ammo, scope and dirt filled bags to fire from.
typical one, with ball ammo, and iron sights, field position, you can't even hit a 12" x 24" torso, with a rangefinder to help you, and ZERO wind and mirage, HALF of the time, first shot at 600 yds. that means that what hits you DO get are pure LUCK. hit-miss is SAME "2 possible outcomes" as heads-tails coin toss, which we all ADMIT is just pure luck. add in the (nearly always present) camo on the target, fatique, indigestion, wind, mirage, etc, and the scoped FAL with match ammo, etc, aint a 600 yd rifle, either. It's lucky to group 12" out there, much less CENTER that 12" group on the 12" wide torso.
I've seen people hit better than half the time. There are people that will do 60% hits on first shot under worse conditions, just like there are people that can do better than 80%. And, yes, there are people who will do much worse.
It isn't necessarily a 50-50 outcome. Or, do you beleive the lottery is a 50-50 outcome? you will either win, or you won't.
You try to invent your own rules for probability, but it isn't the way you make it out to be.
Skill plays a major part in your scenario. So do many other factors. (but you seem to want to project your failings on everyone else.)
personally, I will operate on the assumption that EVERYONE can make those shots and will plan accordingly. That way, when they can't, it's a pleasant surprise - and when they can, I'm not going to be dying thinking "wtf? that's impossible!".
Unlike some people who think that they are better than everyone else.
:devil: